Maybe I just shouldn't bet on college games. Every weekend something sort of eery happens and causes me to miss out on a boatload of cash. It was about 700 dollars earlier today. I need a strong showing on Sunday. I bet for money not for fun. I have a goal in mind and if I am going to meet it, I can't have slip ups. I have thoroughly broken down all of the games. Here's the deal:

INDY(-18.5) over tennessee-this is a ton of points anywhere, but especially in the the NFL. I would say it's equivalent to 30 point spread in college. Enough of that. The Colts beat the Titans 35-3 and 31-10 last year. That was with Steve McNair. The Colts may beat Tennessee worse than the Cowboys did last week.

NYG(-4.5) over skins-I know the Skins have looked pretty good in recent weeks and the Gints have looked pretty bad. The Giants only lost one game at home last year. That was a 3 point loss to the Vikings in which for the first and only time in history there was punt, kick, and interception return for a touchdown by one team. The Skins have been vulnerable to good running teams. I expect big things from Tiki coming off the bye week.

detroit(+6.5) over MINNESOTA-The Lions are by no means a great team, but they're competing. They will play hard and Mike Martz will have a few tricks up his sleeve to put some points on the board versus a tough defense. 3 of Minnesota's games have been decided by 3 points. Last week it was 5. I expect a close one.

SAINTS(-7) over tampa-Cadillac has only amassed 107 yards on the ground in the first 3 games. Not really good when your starting qb is making his first NFL start at New Orleans where no doubt they will be psyched up. We dont know a lot about Bruce Gradkowski except for the fact that connected more than 70% of the time while at college. Will it translate? Let's hope not.

st louis(-3) over GREEN BAY-Favre is up to his old tricks. I think he wants to see if he can toss 30 to the other team this year. Plus one of his receivers, Robert Ferguson, is not playing. If Ahman Green plays, this could change my pick, but I think that Ram offense is just starting to roll and Marc Bulger is playing great. The best team will win this one.

miami(+10) over PATS-New England are running their opponents into the ground, but Brady is still not totally comfortable with his wide recieving corp. I know Dante has been struggling, but he has a number of weapons at his disposal and they know this is a big division game. This is a game the Dolphins have to have and I think coach Saban will make that very clear.

DA BEARS(-10) over da bills-Chi town has anihilated the first two opponents that have stepped onto Soldier Field. McGahee is running well, but that Bear defense is mean and nasty and eventually JP Losman will have to make some winning plays. The Bears will not have any of it. On the other hand they have a pretty mean and nasty defense themselves so they may be able to force Grossman into some mistakes as well. But I think the Chicago offense and defense are just too explosive. In the end they will prove to be too much for Buffalo. Let's not forget that Chicago has only allowed 2 touchdowns this year and the defense only gave up double digits once last year at home.

CAROLINA(-8.5) over browns-I might be jumping the gun here by not even looking at any information on the Panthers. But when I looked the Browns profile I saw all I needed to see. They gave up 128 yards to Lamont Jordan last week. Imagine what Carolina is going to do to them. They lost by 17 on road to Cincy and got down 18 before storming back last week versus the Raiders. If they get down 18 this week they should probably just quit while they're still ahead. Charlie Frye has thrown 7 picks. I think he's trying to outdo Favre.

JAGUARS(-6.5) over jets-This is not an easy pick. The Jets 2 losses have come to Indianapolis and New England. Then again, their 2 wins were against Buffalo and Tennessee. Not so impressive, but they were both road victories. I think that Pennington is a very good qb, but with a hurt Laverneus and the starting running back out, the Jags get a late score to get the cover.

kansas city(-3.5) over ARIZONA-In week 1 when the Chiefs lost to the Bengals, but held down Carson Palmer I thought it was a fluke. 3 games later and I see a trend developing. The Cards still can't run the ball and they have not even been able to pass the ball that well. Leinart is making his first start. He will need some serious help from the offensive line and the run game. I don't see it happening. The Cards play well at home so it's hard to pull the trigger on this one, but I think it's a pick you have to take even with Damon Huard starting for the Chiefs.

NINERS(-3.5) over oakland-The Raiders might be worse than the Titans. They have just 211 passing yards in 3 games. Lamont Jordan has just about 150 rushing yards, 128 of which were gained last week. It's not that he Niners are much better, especially coming off of a 41-0 whoopin' at the hands of the Chiefs. I just feel that the Niners are a younger team and they care more abour winning.

HOME TEAMS IN CAPS
Happy Betting!!